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Analysis US interceptor shortages test reliability of THAAD coverage in South KoreaRising missile demand and limited production capacity may constrain replenishment timelines for South Korea defenses Reports that the U.S. may shift elements of its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) assets from South Korea to the Middle East point to growing pressure on interceptor supplies, as simultaneous conflicts increase demand on a finite pool of missiles. For Seoul, the implications depend on how long any reduction in available interceptors persists. A short-term drawdown followed by replenishment would align with past rotations of U.S. air defense assets, but a prolonged or partial return would expose a structural mismatch between supply and demand in high-end missile defense. Concurrently, it highlights South Korea’s continued reliance on U.S. systems © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. |





