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Analysis Cho Kuk’s return after pardon tests South Korea’s progressive coalition unityPublic backlash, shifting polls and policy divergence raise risk of fragmentation before 2026 and 2028 elections Cho Kuk’s rapid political reentry following his Aug. 15 pardon has intensified risks for South Korea’s ruling bloc, as political signaling outpaces institutional coordination within the Democratic Party (DP) and its allies. The return of the minor opposition Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) leader has destabilized voter coalitions, triggered internal dissent and raised doubts about the ruling camp’s ability to manage cohesion ahead of critical elections. The episode highlights a persistent vulnerability in South Korean politics: the tendency to rely on symbolic gestures or charismatic figures without building durable, institutional channels to manage policy or coalition interests. In Cho’s case, the © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. |





