{"id":2208020,"date":"2025-01-21T08:00:58","date_gmt":"2025-01-20T23:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2208020"},"modified":"2025-01-20T16:02:36","modified_gmt":"2025-01-20T07:02:36","slug":"bank-of-korea-warns-of-growth-slowdown-as-global-trade-pressures-intensify","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2025\/01\/bank-of-korea-warns-of-growth-slowdown-as-global-trade-pressures-intensify\/","title":{"rendered":"Bank of Korea warns of growth slowdown as global trade pressures intensify"},"content":{"rendered":"
The Bank of Korea (BOK) has adjusted its 2025 growth forecast <\/span>downward<\/span><\/a> to 1.6 to 1.7% on Monday, citing lingering domestic political instability and heightened external risks. This marks a significant reduction from its earlier projection of <\/span>1.9%<\/span><\/a>. The central bank highlighted weaker consumer sentiment and sluggish investment as key contributors to the revised outlook. South Korea\u2019s Economic Sentiment Index plunged to 83.1 in Dec. 2024, its lowest since the pandemic.<\/span><\/p>\n Despite strong exports in sectors like semiconductors and IT products, broader consumption and investment trends have struggled to recover. The BOK anticipates additional headwinds from the Trump administration\u2019s protectionist policies, which could disrupt South Korea\u2019s trade-dependent economy. The central bank emphasized the need for swift government action and further clarity in economic policymaking to stabilize conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n WHY IT MATTERS<\/b><\/p>\n The finance ministry\u2019s <\/span>announcement<\/span><\/a> of a record $248 billion (360 trillion won) export finance allocation for 2025 underlines the government\u2019s urgency in countering growing uncertainties. With enhanced support for sectors like semiconductors and expanded exchange rate risk measures, the ministry aims to mitigate external shocks and strengthen South Korea\u2019s export competitiveness.<\/span><\/p>\n The main opposition Democratic Party\u2019s (DP) <\/span>pivot to emphasizing economic issues<\/span><\/a> comes after Friday\u2019s <\/span>Gallup Korea poll<\/span><\/a> showed the ruling People Power Party leading by three percentage points. DP leader Lee Jae-myung\u2019s renewed focus on livelihood recovery and calls for bipartisan action reflect mounting pressure to address public dissatisfaction with economic conditions, particularly amid slowing employment<\/a> and consumer pessimism.<\/span><\/p>\n Trump\u2019s return to office adds further uncertainty, with his administration\u2019s potential trade and tariff policies posing significant challenges for South Korea\u2019s export-driven economy. While the BOK\u2019s projections suggest limited growth, it remains to be seen whether the South Korean economy can even meet these reduced targets, given the dual pressures of global instability and domestic political uncertainty.<\/span><\/p>\n