{"id":2207595,"date":"2024-12-23T15:11:47","date_gmt":"2024-12-23T06:11:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2207595"},"modified":"2024-12-24T14:40:19","modified_gmt":"2024-12-24T05:40:19","slug":"south-koreas-chaotic-2024-impeachment-martial-law-and-political-upheaval","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/12\/south-koreas-chaotic-2024-impeachment-martial-law-and-political-upheaval\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korea\u2019s chaotic 2024: Impeachment, martial law and political upheaval"},"content":{"rendered":"
South Korea\u2019s political landscape in 2024 was marked by dramatic twists and upheavals, reshaping the nation\u2019s trajectory. Korea Pro revisits 12 pivotal moments \u2014 from leadership shake-ups to the shockwaves of martial law \u2014 that defined the year, presented in chronological order.<\/span><\/p>\n 1. Main opposition leader stabbed during site tour<\/b><\/p>\n Lee Jae-myung, leader of the opposition Democratic Party, delivers a statement upon being discharged from Seoul National University Hospital following inpatient treatment after suffering a knife attack to the neck on Jan. 2 | Image: Democratic Party<\/a> (Jan. 10, 2024)<\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> Main opposition Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung was stabbed by an assailant while visiting a construction site for Busan\u2019s new Gadeok Island airport on <\/span>Jan. 2<\/span><\/a>. The attack occurred shortly after a press briefing. Lee was rushed to Pusan National University Hospital, where doctors treated a half-inch (1.4 cm) wound that damaged a vital vein. The attacker, a 67-year-old man surnamed Kim, was arrested on-site, confessed to intending to kill Lee, and was later <\/span>sentenced<\/span><\/a> to 15 years in prison. The court condemned the act as a \u201cserious challenge to representative democracy.\u201d President Yoon Suk-yeol denounced the attack, calling violence \u201cintolerable in a democratic society\u201d and urging a swift investigation.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> The assassination attempt exposed deep cracks in South Korea\u2019s political culture. Experts warned that growing tribalism and hate-fueled rhetoric are eroding democratic norms. Public reactions ranged from condemnation to disturbing celebrations in radical circles, underscoring desensitization to violence. While the attack briefly united political rivals in denouncing violence, <\/span>experts<\/span><\/a> argued that reversing these destructive trends requires not just denouncing violence, but also rebuilding spaces for substantive policy discussions and fostering respect for democratic institutions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n 2. A short-lived alliance between Lee Nak-yeon and Lee Jun-seok\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n Lee Nak-yon (right), pictured during Seollal greetings on Feb. 9, 2024 and Lee Jun-seok, pictured during his tenure as People Power Party leader in May. 2022. | Image: Lee Nak-yon via Facebook<\/a> and People Power Party<\/a>, edited by Korea Pro<\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> The New Reform Party (NRP), a coalition aimed at breaking South Korea\u2019s two-party dominance, <\/span>dissolved<\/span><\/a> on Feb. 20, just 11 days after its formation. The collapse stemmed from internal disputes over strategy and policy direction between co-leaders Lee Nak-yon, a former DP leader, and Lee Jun-seok, a former People Power Party (PPP) chair. Lee Nak-yon later <\/span>announced<\/span><\/a> plans to lead his newly formed New Future Party. Despite its short lifespan, the NRP had briefly surged to become the <\/span>third most popular<\/span><\/a>, raising \u2014 and then dashing \u2014 hopes for a viable centrist alternative.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> Touted as a \u201cbig tent\u201d solution to South Korea\u2019s polarized politics, the NRP\u2019s swift collapse exposed the challenges of uniting diverse ideologies. While <\/span>experts<\/span><\/a> saw potential in its focus on pragmatic policymaking, ideological rifts proved insurmountable. The failure highlighted the entrenched dominance of the PPP and DP, leaving minor parties struggling to mount meaningful challenges in April\u2019s parliamentary elections. For now, South Korea\u2019s political duopoly remains unshaken.<\/span><\/p>\n 3. Opposition parties triumph in parliamentary elections\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung (center, front row) and other party members celebrate at the exit poll results for South Korea’s 22nd parliamentary elections, April 10, 2024 | Image: Democratic Party<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> South Korea\u2019s opposition parties secured a landmark victory in the 22nd parliamentary elections, capturing <\/span>192<\/span><\/a> seats in the National Assembly. The DP claimed 175 seats \u2014 the largest win for an opposition party in South Korean history \u2014 while its ally, the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), added 12. Three smaller opposition parties contributed six more seats. The PPP won just 108 seats, marking its third consecutive defeat. Although the opposition bloc fell short of the 200-seat supermajority needed to amend the constitution and nullify presidential vetoes, it secured overwhelming legislative control, leaving Yoon to govern without majority support for the entirety of his term.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> The results dealt a major blow to Yoon\u2019s agenda, stalling plans for deregulation, tax cuts, medical reform and abolishing the gender ministry. While the DP\u2019s 192-seat bloc prevented it from pursuing impeachment alone, it could fast-track legislation and intensify investigations into Yoon\u2019s administration. The elections also marked a turning point for South Korea\u2019s progressive movement, with the Green Justice Party <\/span>failing<\/span><\/a> to secure any seats for the first time in 20 years. Following the loss, party leader Sim Sang-jung retired, signaling a potential shift in South Korea\u2019s left-leaning politics. For the PPP, the defeat reinforced its struggle to regain footing amid mounting public discontent.<\/span><\/p>\n 4. Yoon and Lee hold first formal meeting<\/b><\/p>\n DP leader Lee Jae-myung reads his prepared keynote remark on April 29, 2024, at his first formal meeting with President Yoon Suk-yeol | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n What happened: <\/b>Yoon met Lee Jae-myung on April 29 \u2014 their first formal meeting since the former\u2019s inauguration 720 days earlier. The meeting, held after weeks of failed negotiations, had no predefined agenda. Lee opened with a 15-minute public statement, accusing Yoon\u2019s administration of \u201cautocratization\u201d and mishandling the economy. He demanded an apology for vetoing key legislation, called for expedited pension reform and requested investigations into a marine\u2019s death and the 2022 Itaewon crowd crush incident.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> The two-hour meeting ended without progress or a joint statement. Yoon rejected Lee\u2019s proposal for universal cash vouchers and remained unresponsive to calls for investigations into the marine\u2019s death and alleged misconduct involving the first lady. While both sides showed some openness on revisiting the Itaewon tragedy and increasing medical school quotas, the DP expressed frustration, accusing Yoon of rejecting meaningful cooperation. The meeting highlighted the entrenched ideological divide between the government and opposition, with little indication of improved relations in the near future.<\/span><\/p>\n 5. Itaewon inquiry passed, marine probe vetoed<\/b><\/p>\n Former ROK marines demand a special probe investigation bill for the death of a marine who lost his life during a search and rescue mission at a protest on June 1<\/a>, mourners gather for the one-year anniversary of the Itaewon disaster on Oct. 29, 2023<\/a> | Images: Democratic Party, edited by Korea Pro<\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> On May 2, the National Assembly passed the <\/span>Itaewon disaster bill<\/span><\/a>, mandating a re-investigation into the 2022 crowd crush incident. The bill passed unanimously after rare bipartisan revisions, including changes to the commission\u2019s structure. However, unity collapsed the next day when the DP unilaterally passed a bill to appoint a special counsel to investigate alleged negligence in the 2023 death of Marine Corporal <\/span>Chae Su-geun<\/span><\/a> during flood rescue operations. The PPP boycotted the vote, accusing the DP of politicizing the marine\u2019s death. Chae\u2019s death, linked to <\/span>inadequate safety measures<\/span><\/a>, sparked public outcry and calls for accountability. Yoon <\/span>vetoed<\/span><\/a> the special counsel bill, further escalating tensions.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> Yoon\u2019s veto of the marine probe marked the 10th of his presidency, a record since democratization, and drew sharp criticism for stifling legislative dialogue. Public discontent over his vetoes continues to grow; a <\/span>National Barometer Survey<\/span><\/a> found 67% of South Koreans supported the special counsel bill. Experts warned that Yoon\u2019s frequent use of veto power risked alienating voters and deepening opposition frustrations, potentially eroding his administration\u2019s credibility and further damaging the PPP\u2019s public standing.<\/span><\/p>\n 6. October by-elections reveal weaknesses in major parties<\/b><\/p>\n From left: Ruling People Power Party Leader Han Dong-hoon campaigns in Busan on Oct. 12, opposition Democratic Party Leader Lee Jae-myung during campaigning in Busan’s Geumjeong District on Oct. 12 | Images: People Power Party<\/a>, Democratic Party<\/a>, edited by Korea Pro<\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> On <\/span>Oct. 16<\/span><\/a>, the PPP and the DP each retained control of their traditional strongholds in local by-elections. The PPP defended key districts in Busan\u2019s Geumjeong and Incheon\u2019s Ganghwa, despite Yoon\u2019s record-low 22% approval rating amid scandals involving the first lady. The DP secured two county chief seats in its South Jeolla stronghold but faced unexpected challenges from progressive rivals. In Yeonggwang County, the DP candidate won with just 41.1% of the vote, underscoring voter dissatisfaction. The by-elections were the first electoral test since the DP\u2019s landslide win in April\u2019s parliamentary elections.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications: <\/b>The results exposed vulnerabilities for both parties. The DP\u2019s struggles in Yeonggwang and the unexpected challenges it faced from the RKP suggested a growing appetite for political diversity among disillusioned voters. For the PPP, victories in conservative strongholds came at the cost of distancing from Yoon\u2019s embattled administration, with party leader Han Dong-hoon appealing to Yoon\u2019s critics. The elections highlighted cracks in each party\u2019s base, with implications for their 2025 and 2027 strategies. Additionally, the DP may face intra-party disputes due to Lee Jae-myung\u2019s legal challenges.<\/span><\/p>\n 7. Yoon faces scandal, offers unconvincing apology<\/b><\/p>\n South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol and First Lady Kim Keon-hee before their departure to Laos on Oct. 11, 2024 | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n What happened: <\/b>On Nov. 7, Yoon <\/span>apologized publicly<\/span><\/a> amid mounting allegations of election interference and influence peddling involving first lady Kim Keon-hee. The scandal erupted on <\/span>Oct. 31<\/span><\/a>, when opposition lawmakers released recordings suggesting Yoon had discussed a political nomination with a broker linked to Kim. During a 140-minute press conference, Yoon admitted \u201cshortcomings\u201d but dismissed the allegations, defending his involvement in the nomination process. As the controversy widened, new claims of poll manipulation and favoritism in government appointments emerged. Yoon\u2019s approval rating plummeted to a historic low of <\/span>17%<\/span><\/a>, with opposition calls for an independent investigation into Kim intensifying. Yoon rejected external probes, citing constitutional concerns.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> Yoon\u2019s apology did little to ease public outrage, with critics accusing him of deflection and insincerity. The scandal fueled calls for accountability and highlighted potential legal risks for the president, particularly concerning election law violations. While impeachment remained unlikely due to a lack of PPP support, Yoon\u2019s credibility and political momentum suffered. Analysts warned that prolonged fallout could lead to internal shake-ups and further erode public trust, making it harder for Yoon to govern effectively or recover politically.<\/span><\/p>\n 8. Lee Jae-myung faces mixed legal verdicts<\/b><\/p>\n DP leader Lee Jae-myung and other party lawmakers look through documents at Lee\u2019s office in Nov. 2024 | Image: Lee Jae-myung via Instagram<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> On Nov. 15, opposition leader Lee Jae-myung was convicted of disseminating false information during his 2022 presidential campaign, receiving a one-year prison sentence, suspended for two years. The court ruled under Article 250 of the Public Official Election Act. Ten days later, Lee was acquitted of allegations that he pressured a witness to commit perjury in a 2018 election case, with the court citing insufficient evidence. These verdicts have marked the latest developments in a series of legal battles facing the DP leader.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> Lee\u2019s legal troubles are far from over, with ongoing investigations into corruption and alleged illegal funds transfers to North Korea. If his Nov. 15 conviction is upheld, it could end his parliamentary career and bar him from running in the 2027 presidential election, potentially derailing his political future. A finalized conviction could also force the DP to repay $32 million (43.1 billion won) in campaign subsidies and forfeit Lee\u2019s $220,000 (300 million won) candidate deposit, compounding financial strains. The outcomes of these cases, potentially finalized by mid-2025, will be pivotal in shaping the DP\u2019s strategy and prospects ahead of the next presidential race.<\/span><\/p>\n 9. Yoon declares martial law, faces immediate backlash\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n Lawmakers\u2019 aides and citizens try to stop martial law troops from entering the National Assembly building, Dec. 3, 2024 | Image: Democratic Party leader Lee Jae-myung via X<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n What happened:<\/b> On Dec. 3, Yoon declared martial law in a late-night televised address, citing threats from \u201canti-state factions\u201d to the liberal constitutional order. It was the first invocation of martial law since 1979. Troops, under the command of General Park An-soo, stormed the National Assembly, breaking windows and clashing with legislative staff. Political activities, including legislative operations, were suspended. In the early hours of Dec. 4, 190 lawmakers unanimously passed a resolution to revoke martial law, prompting troop withdrawal after just two and a half hours.<\/span><\/p>\n Implications:<\/b> The brief but dramatic declaration plunged South Korea into a constitutional crisis, raising alarms about executive overreach and democratic stability. Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung called the action unconstitutional and void, citing Yoon\u2019s failure to secure Cabinet approval. The crisis galvanized opposition parties as public concerns over authoritarianism grew. Financial markets reacted sharply, with the Korean won depreciating overnight before stabilizing. However, lingering uncertainty about Yoon\u2019s political future could deter foreign investment and weaken business confidence, casting a long shadow over his administration.<\/span><\/p>\n
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