{"id":2207415,"date":"2024-12-06T10:22:46","date_gmt":"2024-12-06T01:22:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2207415"},"modified":"2024-12-07T20:11:08","modified_gmt":"2024-12-07T11:11:08","slug":"yoons-martial-law-crisis-exposes-beltway-think-tank-blind-spots","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/12\/yoons-martial-law-crisis-exposes-beltway-think-tank-blind-spots\/","title":{"rendered":"Yoon\u2019s martial law crisis exposes beltway think tank blind spots"},"content":{"rendered":"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol stunned the world by <\/span>abruptly declaring martial law<\/span><\/a> in response to \u201cpro-North Korea elements\u201d on Wednesday \u2014 only to back down in the face of swift domestic and international backlash.<\/span><\/p>\n

While the crisis was short-lived, it marked a disturbing departure from democratic norms in a nation that emerged from authoritarian rule just decades ago. This came from a leader who recently championed the importance of \u201cfreedom\u201d some <\/span>39 times<\/span><\/a> in a single speech.<\/span><\/p>\n

But the response from key figures and institutions in Washington\u2019s Korea policy elite has been strikingly muted. Prominent D.C. think tanks with close ties to the South Korean government offered measured critiques couched in praise for the ROK\u2019s democratic resilience, revealing a troubling reluctance to condemn authoritarian actions by a key U.S. ally.<\/span><\/p>\n

CAUTIOUS BELTWAY RESPONSE<\/b><\/p>\n

CSIS\u2019s Korea Chair Victor Cha assumed a strikingly defensive posture, <\/span>telling CNN three times<\/span><\/a> that Yoon \u201cdid the right thing\u201d by reversing his martial law declaration \u2014 while sidestepping the alarmingly thin justifications for suspending democratic governance in the first place.<\/span><\/p>\n

An official <\/span>CSIS commentary<\/span><\/a> hailed the \u201cpeaceful resolution of yesterday\u2019s crisis\u201d as proof of the \u201cmaturity and resilience\u201d of South Korean democracy, though it did acknowledge the incident as a \u201csignificant setback\u201d for Yoon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Similarly, the Wilson Center\u2019s video commentary on the topic <\/span>framed<\/span><\/a> South Korea as \u201cstill a thriving and expansive democracy,\u201d describing Yoon\u2019s reversal as a defense of the country\u2019s \u201chistorical legacy as a democracy.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

In a slightly more critical vein, Korea Chair Andrew Yeo of the Brookings Institution commented in a <\/span>Korea Herald<\/span><\/i> interview<\/span><\/a> that the \u201csudden, brash, and somewhat inexplicable decision to declare martial law\u201d undermines South Korea\u2019s claims to values-based diplomacy and its aspirations as a \u201cglobal pivotal state.\u201d But even this critique fell short of directly faulting Yoon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the ROK-government-funded <\/span>Korea Economic Institute of America<\/span><\/a> \u2014 a key institution exclusively covering Korea \u2014 has published absolutely nothing on the matter.<\/span><\/p>\n

BLUNT CONDEMNATION<\/b><\/p>\n

Skeptics argue the light-touch treatment from many D.C. voices stems from cozy ties binding Beltway Korea hands to their South Korean counterparts.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe D.C. think tanks dependent on ROK government largesse are now backpedaling to praise Yoon for doing the \u2018right thing\u2019 to lift the martial law he declared by respecting the National Assembly override vote,\u201d wrote veteran Korea watcher Mark Barry on <\/span>Twitter<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Some non-Beltway Korea analysts, such as Karl Friedhoff and David Kang, attribute this response to an overly positive attitude toward the Yoon administration in D.C. circles.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf you\u2019re anywhere but D.C., Yoon\u2019s presidency has been a disaster from the jump,\u201d Friedhoff <\/span>wrote<\/span><\/a> on BlueSky. \u201cFolks in D.C. ignored his domestic train wreck because he was playing nice with Japan and sang a song at the White House.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Kang <\/span>echoed<\/span><\/a> these sentiments: \u201cThe American D.C. Blob loved this guy, for all the wrong reasons. The D.C. establishment felt it had finally found a \u2018reasonable\u2019 Korean who desperately wanted rapprochement with Japan and was willing to sing a song at a White House dinner \u2014 what more do you need in a Korean leader?\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol attends a state dinner hosted by U.S. President Joe Biden at the White House, April 26, 2023 | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

Unlike their peers in the Beltway, Friedhoff and Kang were much more critical about the decision. \u201cJust to reiterate: Yoon\u2019s declaration of emergency martial law is absolutely shocking. Cannot state that strongly enough,\u201d wrote Friedhoff. \u201cThis is so outrageous I am having trouble getting my head around it,\u201d wrote Kang. \u201cThis is one of the dumbest moves by a Korean president in its history.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

And others outside of D.C. also chose not to hold back. \u201cThis is definitely an attempted coup d\u2019etat,\u201d <\/span>wrote<\/span><\/a> Jeffrey Lewis of the Middlebury Institute. \u201cYoon should go to prison for the rest of his life. Yoon is a fool.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Not all D.C. figures avoided tough criticism, but it should be noted that many of these individuals and organizations are less connected \u2014 politically or financially \u2014 to the incumbent ROK government.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bruce Klingner of the Heritage Foundation, which <\/span>does not accept<\/span><\/a> government funding, <\/span>described<\/span><\/a> Yoon\u2019s action as \u201ca damning reversal to decades of South Korean efforts to put its authoritarian past behind it.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Sheena Greitens, writing for the <\/span>Carnegie Endowment<\/span><\/a>, called it an \u201cill-planned power grab\u201d that \u201cstunned observers around the world.\u201d And Jenny Town of the Stimson Center urged the U.S. to \u201c<\/span>condemn the tyrant<\/span><\/a>\u201d for his \u201c<\/span>egregious abuse of power<\/span><\/a>.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

These more candid assessments stand in stark contrast to the measured tones of those think tanks more closely tied to South Korea\u2019s government.<\/span><\/p>\n

In prioritizing smooth relations over thorny questions of democratic erosion, as many key institutions and experts in D.C. appear to have done, Beltway Korea experts showed a disconnect with realities on the ground.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe D.C. crowd didn\u2019t realize \u2014 or more likely, didn\u2019t care \u2014 that Yoon was far outside the median Korean citizen on most things,\u201d said USC professor David Kang. \u201cYoon hovered in the 20s for approval ratings. And his admin was demonstrably ill-conceived and almost clownish.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

CREDIBILITY ON THE LINE<\/b><\/p>\n

The reluctance of major think tanks to confront the biggest political upheaval in South Korea in decades raises serious questions about independence. Many rely on these institutions for clear-eyed, unvarnished assessments of developments on the Korean Peninsula.<\/span><\/p>\n

When think tanks pull their punches, offer tepid praise, or remain silent in the face of such a momentous event, it calls into question their credibility and analytical integrity and does a grave disservice to their readers and partners.<\/span><\/p>\n

If the U.S. is to be a credible champion of democracy on the world stage, it cannot afford to go soft on friendly autocrats.<\/span><\/p>\n

To his credit, Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell <\/span>publicly criticized<\/span><\/a> Yoon\u2019s martial law decision as \u201cbadly misjudged,\u201d \u201cdeeply problematic,\u201d and \u201cillegitimate.\u201d This refreshing display of diplomatic candor puts the Beltway\u2019s Korea policy elite to shame.<\/span><\/p>\n

But if the think tanks, pundits and opinion leaders who specialize in Korean affairs prove unwilling to speak hard truths about the country they study so closely, then policymakers in Washington would be wise to approach their analysis with a more critical eye.<\/span><\/p>\n

In a region as complex and consequential as Northeast Asia, the U.S. cannot rely uncritically on assessments colored by access concerns or ideological affinity. Pulling punches on Yoon\u2019s authoritarian impulses today risks emboldening would-be autocrats tomorrow \u2014 a hazard the U.S. and its allies must take seriously.<\/span><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a>Inter-Korean & Foreign Relations<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol stunned the world by abruptly declaring martial law in response to \u201cpro-North Korea elements\u201d on Wednesday \u2014 only to back down in the face of swift domestic and international backlash. While the crisis was short-lived, it marked a disturbing departure from democratic norms in a nation that emerged from authoritarian […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10407,"featured_media":2207418,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[27,28],"class_list":["post-2207415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-domestic-politics","tag-inter-korean-foreign-relations"],"yoast_head":"\nYoon\u2019s martial law crisis exposes beltway think tank blind spots - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/12\/yoons-martial-law-crisis-exposes-beltway-think-tank-blind-spots\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Yoon\u2019s martial law crisis exposes beltway think tank blind spots - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol stunned the world by abruptly declaring martial law in response to \u201cpro-North Korea elements\u201d on Wednesday \u2014 only to back down in the face of swift domestic and international backlash. 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