{"id":2206809,"date":"2024-10-16T08:00:26","date_gmt":"2024-10-15T23:00:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2206809"},"modified":"2024-10-15T12:01:40","modified_gmt":"2024-10-15T03:01:40","slug":"south-korean-trade-sees-volume-growth-despite-export-and-import-price-declines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/10\/south-korean-trade-sees-volume-growth-despite-export-and-import-price-declines\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korean trade sees volume growth despite export and import price declines"},"content":{"rendered":"
South Korea\u2019s export and import prices continued their downward trend in September for the second straight month, according to <\/span>data from the Bank of Korea<\/span><\/a> (BOK) on Tuesday. The export price index dropped by 2.3% from August, driven by falling prices for key products such as coal, petroleum and electronics. Meanwhile, the import price index fell by 2.2%, largely due to a decrease in international oil prices and a weaker won-dollar exchange rate.<\/span><\/p>\n Despite declining prices, the volume of trade increased. The export volume index rose by 3.9%, and the import volume index grew by 2.4% year-on-year. This indicates that South Korean companies are exporting and importing more goods, even as prices fall, signaling resilience in trade activity.<\/span><\/p>\n WHY IT MATTERS<\/b><\/p>\n The continued drop in export prices is significant for South Korean businesses that rely heavily on global markets. While falling prices could squeeze profit margins, rate cuts by both the <\/span>U.S. Federal Reserve<\/span><\/a> and the <\/span>BOK<\/span><\/a> may boost domestic and international consumption, potentially offsetting some of the negative effects. Lower prices, combined with increased consumption, could drive higher demand for South Korean exports in the short term.<\/span><\/p>\n For South Korean importers, lower import prices \u2014 particularly for oil \u2014 could ease inflationary pressures, providing relief to consumers and businesses. However, South Korea remains vulnerable to external shocks, especially in global oil markets. The <\/span>escalating conflict in the Middle East<\/span><\/a> could drive up oil prices, reversing recent gains from falling inflation.<\/span><\/p>\n However, the gap between falling prices and rising trade volumes raises concerns that South Korea may be overly relying on price competitiveness. While short-term demand may rise, South Korea\u2019s <\/span>export-led growth<\/span><\/a> could be at risk if demand from key markets like China weakens further. As South Korea\u2019s economic growth remains closely tied to China\u2019s performance, a further slowdown in Chinese demand could have a <\/span>cascading effect<\/span><\/a> on the South Korean economy.<\/span><\/p>\n