{"id":2206243,"date":"2024-08-23T08:00:01","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T23:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2206243"},"modified":"2024-08-22T13:29:35","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T04:29:35","slug":"south-koreas-central-bank-holds-rates-steady-for-13th-consecutive-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/08\/south-koreas-central-bank-holds-rates-steady-for-13th-consecutive-time\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korea\u2019s central bank holds rates steady for 13th consecutive time"},"content":{"rendered":"
The Bank of Korea (BOK) kept its key interest rate <\/span>unchanged at 3.5%<\/span><\/a> for the 13th consecutive time on Thursday, citing persistent household debt and moderating inflation. The decision follows a series of rate hikes from April 2022 to Jan. 2023. The central bank also lowered its 2024 growth forecast to 2.4% from 2.5%, reflecting weaker domestic demand despite robust exports.<\/span><\/p>\n Household debt in South Korea continues to climb, with outstanding credit reaching a record $1.42 trillion (1,896.2 trillion won) in the second quarter of 2024. Inflation rose to <\/span>2.6% in July<\/span><\/a>, remaining below 3% for the fourth month. The BOK\u2019s rate freeze aligns with the U.S. Federal Reserve\u2019s July 31 decision to <\/span>hold rates steady<\/span><\/a>, indicating cautious monetary policy amid uncertain economic conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n WHY IT MATTERS<\/b><\/p>\n The BOK\u2019s decision to maintain its key interest rate at 3.5% signals its focus on mitigating financial risks amid record household debt. Despite inflation stabilizing at 2.6% in July, the central bank is wary of cutting rates prematurely due to the potential for increased <\/span>capital outflows<\/span><\/a> and further <\/span>currency depreciation<\/span><\/a>. These risks are heightened by the Bank of Japan\u2019s July 31 decision to <\/span>raise interest rates<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n A rate cut before the U.S. Federal Reserve\u2019s <\/span>expected decision<\/span><\/a> in September, which would widen the interest rate differential between South Korea and the U.S., would likely exacerbate downward pressure on the won. This would lead to higher import costs, particularly in essential goods and raw materials, reigniting inflationary pressures just as the BOK is starting to bring them under control.<\/span><\/p>\n However, maintaining the current rate may further strain <\/span>domestic consumption<\/span><\/a>, which could slow economic growth. The BOK has already revised economic growth downward to 2.4% for 2024. South Korea\u2019s exports have been robust, with outbound shipments reaching <\/span>over $33.1 billion<\/span><\/a> so far this month, but they may not be sufficient to buoy growth figures.<\/span><\/p>\n