{"id":2205853,"date":"2024-07-18T19:08:57","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T10:08:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2205853"},"modified":"2024-07-19T17:59:21","modified_gmt":"2024-07-19T08:59:21","slug":"why-frontrunner-for-south-koreas-ruling-party-leader-is-distancing-from-yoon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/07\/why-frontrunner-for-south-koreas-ruling-party-leader-is-distancing-from-yoon\/","title":{"rendered":"Why frontrunner for South Korea\u2019s ruling party leader is distancing from Yoon"},"content":{"rendered":"

As South Korea\u2019s ruling People Power Party (PPP) prepares to elect its new leader during next Tuesday\u2019s national convention, frontrunners have focused on accusing each other of belonging to factions that are hostile to President Yoon Suk-yeol, potentially creating a rift between the party and the Presidential Office.<\/span><\/p>\n

This rift will likely grow deeper if the frontrunner, Han Dong-hoon, former justice minister and interim party leader, wins the leadership race.<\/span><\/p>\n

Recent polls show that Han\u2019s strategy to distance himself from Yoon appears to have translated into increased support from all constituent bases, including progressive voters who disapprove of the president.<\/span><\/p>\n

This increased support among the general public will be vital if Han decides to run for the presidency in 2027. However, the more immediate election on Tuesday is proving difficult to predict, Han\u2019s frontrunner status notwithstanding, as other minor candidates join forces to surpass his 45% approval rate.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Na Kyung-won and her supporters (left) and Won Hee-ryong and his supporters (right) on July 17, 2024 | Images: People Power Party, collage by Korea Pro<\/p><\/div>\n

THE PRO-YOON FACTION<\/b><\/p>\n

Four candidates are vying for the PPP leadership position in next week\u2019s election. Registered party members will account for 80% of the vote, while public opinion polls of PPP supporters and non-affiliated voters will determine the remaining 20%.<\/span><\/p>\n

Recent surveys from <\/span>Gallup Korea<\/span><\/a> and <\/span>other<\/span><\/a> reliable<\/span><\/a> polling<\/span><\/a> institutions indicate that Han has consistently led the race among the general public and PPP supporters.<\/span><\/p>\n

The other three contenders are:<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Won Hee-ryong<\/strong>, a former land minister who ran to represent Incheon\u2019s Gyeyang-B District but lost to DP leader Lee Jae-myung in April\u2019s parliamentary elections<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. Na Kyung-won<\/strong>, a five-term lawmaker representing Seoul\u2019s Dongjak B district, who has unsuccessfully attempted to be the conservative party\u2019s leader on multiple occasions<\/span><\/li>\n
  3. Yoon Sang-hyun<\/strong>, a five-term lawmaker representing Incheon\u2019s Michuhol B district and former son-in-law of Chun Doo-hwan, South Korea’s former president and military dictator<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Until recently, polls suggested that if Na, Won and Yoon <\/span>merged<\/span><\/a> their candidacies, they could beat Han. A Gallup Korea poll from June 25 to 27 showed Han receiving 38% of the PPP approval from PPP supporters and non-affiliated voters, while Na, Won and Yoon collectively received 34%, with a margin of error of 4.3 percentage points.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    However, the dynamics shifted earlier this month when media reports revealed that Han had ignored five text messages from first lady Kim Keon-hee in January, months before the general election. Kim allegedly offered to formally apologize to the public for the Dior purse scandal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    The pro-Yoon faction in the PPP, including Na and Won, overwhelmingly criticized Han\u2019s behavior as \u201cimmature.\u201d Some even blamed Han\u2019s apparent willingness to distance himself from the president and the first lady for the party\u2019s defeat in the parliamentary elections, allowing the DP to retain its control of the legislature.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Following this incident, Won, consistently the most pro-Yoon candidate, and Na adjusted their campaigns to portray themselves as better suited to helm the party and maintain close communications with the Presidential Office. For instance, Na <\/span>likened<\/span><\/a> the party and the president to one family.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Concurrently, Won\u2019s campaign team launched a social media campaign targeting Han\u2019s family, leading to a verbal warning from the PPP\u2019s election commission.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Tensions boiled over when a physical fight broke out among party supporters during a joint candidates\u2019 rally, with one individual <\/span>throwing<\/span><\/a> a chair at Han and calling him a \u201ctraitor.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

    \"\"

    Yoon San-hyun on July 17, 2024 | Image: People Power Party<\/p><\/div>\n

    HAN\u2019S STRATEGIC POSITIONING<\/b><\/p>\n

    Han has leveraged his non-Yoon-aligned image to his advantage, effectively winning voters\u2019 support across the political spectrum. When confronted about ignoring the first lady\u2019s text messages in January, Han confirmed receiving them but stated that personally communicating with her would have been \u201cinappropriate.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

    Further, Han differentiated himself from the other three by repeatedly stressing his support for a special prosecutor to look into high-level officials and potentially the president for allegedly attempting to interfere in the military\u2019s investigation of the circumstances that led to a marine\u2019s death last year.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Han likely adopted this stance to court centrist and progressive voters for a presidential run in 2027. A National Barometer Survey poll showed that about 67% of South Koreans support a special prosecutorial investigation into the case.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    In response, the pro-Yoon candidates and various high-profile PPP politicians have accused Han of colluding with the DP and helping the opposition to impeach the president.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Despite these criticisms, or perhaps because of them, Han\u2019s approval rating increased across all constituent bases. Among PPP supporters, those who preferred Han as leader rose from 55% to 57%, according to the latest Gallup Korea survey. More significantly, the general public\u2019s support for Han as PPP leader increased from 28% to 36%.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Counting both PPP supporters and non-affiliated voters \u2014 which is how the PPP\u2019s election commission will count the votes in next week\u2019s election \u2014 Han\u2019s support rose from 38% to 45%, while Won, the most pro-Yoon candidate, saw his support decrease.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    \"\"

    Han Dong-hoon on July 17, 2024 | Image: People Power Party, edited by Korea Pro<\/p><\/div>\n

    During his time as interim party leader, Han\u2019s biggest challenge was criticism of his background as Yoon\u2019s long-time right-hand man, leading to concerns that he would subordinate the party to the Presidential Office.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    As such, Han\u2019s strategy seems to reflect his recognition of that criticism and his confidence in his ability to become the party\u2019s next leader, positioning himself for the 2027 presidential election.<\/span><\/p>\n

    One reason Han remains the frontrunner appears to be that other candidates who have portrayed themselves as loyal to the president may not remain loyal for long.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    In a recent broadcast debate, all four candidates unanimously <\/span>agreed<\/span><\/a> on the need for a prosecutorial investigation into the first lady\u2019s Dior bag scandal, citing \u201cequality before the law\u201d and the public\u2019s demand for a thorough probe.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Although the candidates currently employ pro-Yoon and anti-Yoon framing, many will likely shift their rhetoric after the election. As Yoon\u2019s approval rate hovers around 25%, many will gradually distance themselves from the president in preparation for the next election.<\/span><\/p>\n

    Edited by John Lee<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

    Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    As South Korea\u2019s ruling People Power Party (PPP) prepares to elect its new leader during next Tuesday\u2019s national convention, frontrunners have focused on accusing each other of belonging to factions that are hostile to President Yoon Suk-yeol, potentially creating a rift between the party and the Presidential Office. This rift will likely grow deeper if […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5770,"featured_media":2205854,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27],"class_list":["post-2205853","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-domestic-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nWhy frontrunner for South Korea\u2019s ruling party leader is distancing from Yoon - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/07\/why-frontrunner-for-south-koreas-ruling-party-leader-is-distancing-from-yoon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why frontrunner for South Korea\u2019s ruling party leader is distancing from Yoon - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As South Korea\u2019s ruling People Power Party (PPP) prepares to elect its new leader during next Tuesday\u2019s national convention, frontrunners have focused on accusing each other of belonging to factions that are hostile to President Yoon Suk-yeol, potentially creating a rift between the party and the Presidential Office. 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