{"id":2204304,"date":"2024-03-15T20:54:54","date_gmt":"2024-03-15T11:54:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2204304"},"modified":"2024-03-18T18:56:51","modified_gmt":"2024-03-18T09:56:51","slug":"former-justice-ministers-comeback-splits-progressives-along-generational-lines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/03\/former-justice-ministers-comeback-splits-progressives-along-generational-lines\/","title":{"rendered":"Former justice minister\u2019s comeback splits progressives along generational lines"},"content":{"rendered":"

Editor\u2019s note: Korea Pro\u2019s regular \u2018Election Watch\u2019 series covers key political developments in South Korea leading to the April 10 General Elections.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

\n

Cho Kuk, South Korea\u2019s former justice minister, has re-emerged as a significant political figure despite facing corruption charges and a subsequent prison sentence. His leadership of the newly established Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), which quickly became the country\u2019s third-most-popular party, marks a remarkable comeback.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Cho\u2019s rising popularity and his potential alliance with the main opposition Democratic Party (DP) could have far-reaching implications, potentially alienating young voters and undermining the DP\u2019s long-term credibility.<\/span><\/p>\n

The RKP\u2019s rapid ascent outpaced another nascent party \u2014 the New Futures Party (NFP) \u2014 led by former prime minister Lee Nak-yon. Despite their shared affiliations with the DP and roles in the previous Moon Jae-in administration, their trajectories diverged significantly.<\/span><\/p>\n

While Lee\u2019s NFP distanced itself from the DP, criticizing the lawmakers\u2019 defense of their corruption-charged leader, Lee Jae-myung, Cho has positioned his party as a potential ally to the DP, hinting at a possible merger post-election.<\/span><\/p>\n

This apparent alliance comes at a critical juncture for the DP, which has seen dwindling support and is currently trailing behind the ruling People Power Party (PPP) in polls. The prospect of merging with Cho\u2019s RKP after the elections, thereby bolstering its numbers in the National Assembly, could ensure that the DP retains its parliamentary majority.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Cho\u2019s supporters, primarily among voters in their 40s and 50s, contrast sharply with his lack of appeal among younger, more centrist voters. This demographic has criticized the DP for what they perceive as hypocrisy and a failure to adequately address corruption within its ranks.<\/span><\/p>\n

Further, younger voters have not forgotten why he ended up with a jail term in the first place: Cho forged documents to help get his daughter into medical school.<\/span><\/p>\n

An alliance with Cho, especially if he later ascends to a DP leadership position or presidential candidacy, will further alienate these voters, complicating the DP\u2019s efforts to maintain its moral credibility and appeal across the political spectrum.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Cho Kuk with a supporter’s banner that reads: “Good for DP, they have the RKP.” | Image: Cho Kuk via Facebook<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

MR. POPULAR<\/b><\/p>\n

Cho Kuk openly acknowledges his popularity among long-time supporters who have stood by him since 2019, when then-prosecutors Yoon Suk-yeol (now president) and Han Dong-hoon (now PPP interim leader) <\/span>led the investigation<\/span><\/a> into the medical school admission scandal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cho established his party earlier this month, naming it \u201cCho Kuk’s Rebuilding Party.\u201d While he claims that the word \u201cCho Kuk\u201d in the party\u2019s name means \u201cfatherland,\u201d or Korea, it is a homonym of his own name.<\/span><\/p>\n

The timing of the RKP\u2019s launch coincided with a wave of defections from the DP and the emergence of new political parties amid growing disillusionment among voters. His gambit has paid off, as recent opinion polls indicate that the RKP has swiftly ascended to become a formidable player, drawing support across the political spectrum and outperforming other minor parties.<\/span><\/p>\n

Recent opinion polls over the past two weeks, including <\/span>Gallup Korea<\/span><\/a>, revealed that the RKP is the third-most-popular party, trailing behind the PPP and the DP.<\/span><\/p>\n

The RKP\u2019s appeal is even more pronounced in the context of proportional representation seats \u2014 a significant 19% \u2014\u00a0 indicating a broader support base that could translate into serious political influence in the National Assembly.<\/span><\/p>\n

The party\u2019s rapid growth \u2014 <\/span>claiming<\/span><\/a> over 100,000 members only 11 days after its registration \u2014 is a likely sign of things to come, as some DP lawmakers, disillusioned by internal nomination processes, consider aligning with Cho\u2019s emerging party.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Cho Kuk serving as justice minister in Sept. 2019 | Image: Blue House<\/p><\/div>\n

POLITICAL VICTIMHOOD NARRATIVE<\/b><\/p>\n

Cho Kuk has framed his legal battles as a struggle against what he terms a \u201cprosecutorial dictatorship\u201d led by figures such as Yoon Suk-yeol and Han Dong-hoon.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, his <\/span>recent<\/span><\/a> remarks<\/span><\/a> suggest that his motivation for reentering politics may be more personal: to seek revenge against those who investigated his family. To that end, Cho will run for elections personally, having <\/span>tapped<\/span><\/a> himself as one of the party\u2019s approximately hundred proportional representation candidates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Casting himself as a victim fighting against the perceived abuse of power by prosecutor-turned-politicians appears to be Cho\u2019s main tool toward securing seats for his party in the National Assembly.<\/span><\/p>\n

His <\/span>rhetoric<\/span><\/a>, aimed at \u201cending the prosecutorial dictatorship,\u201d echoes the sentiments that fueled the popular movement that called for the impeachment of former President Park Geun-hye in 2016, resonating deeply with a demographic that has historically supported progressive causes.<\/span><\/p>\n

His narrative \u2014 one of a principled dissident battling a power-hungry judicial system \u2014 has garnered significant support among progressives in their 40s and 50s, a group that matured politically during the youth-led movements against authoritarian rule in South Korea in the 1980s.<\/span><\/p>\n

They now see in Cho a figure battling against what they perceive as the modern embodiments of those authoritarian regimes \u2014 conservatives and the prosecutors.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cho\u2019s strategy of framing himself as a victim of this \u201cprosecutorial dictatorship\u201d to position himself as a champion of democracy and justice reflects a broader trend within South Korean politics, where figures from the political left increasingly adopt the mantle of \u201c<\/span>freedom fighters<\/span><\/a>\u201d in the face of legal and political challenges.<\/span><\/p>\n

For example, former DP leader Song Young-gil, currently arrested over bribery charges, has also sought to cast himself in a similar light, establishing the Pine Tree Party and declaring his candidacy for the April elections from behind bars. In a letter, Song criticized the current administration as akin to a \u201cprosecutor gangster\u201d regime, positioning himself as a martyr for the progressive cause.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, while such narratives might resonate with certain segments of the population, they also raise questions about the implications for South Korea\u2019s political culture and the rule of law.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moreover, figures associated with the DP and other progressive circles \u2014 including those entangled in <\/span>sexual<\/span><\/a> assault<\/span><\/a> scandals<\/span><\/a> or <\/span>urban<\/span><\/a> development corruption allegations \u2014 have also begun to adopt this stance to utilize it for their election campaigns.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This trend has significant implications for the perception of South Korea\u2019s democracy domestically and internationally, potentially affecting its image as a stable and mature democratic society.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

President Moon Jae-in and Cho Kuk discuss Prosecutor General appointment in June 2019 | Image: Blue House<\/p><\/div>\n

YOUNG VOTERS\u2019 DISDAIN<\/b><\/p>\n

However, while invoking the memory of South Korea\u2019s past democratic movements might be effective in rallying support from older generations, it notably fails to engage the country\u2019s youth.<\/span><\/p>\n

Most young South Koreans with no direct experience in the democratic movement of the 1980s are unconvinced by Cho\u2019s argument that the April election should be a platform to rally against the \u201cprosecutorial dictatorship,\u201d a recent survey by the <\/span>National Barometer Survey<\/span><\/a> showed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

This dissonance is particularly pronounced in their reaction to Cho Kuk, whose <\/span>family scandals<\/span><\/a> have become emblematic of the wider issues of privilege and fairness in South Korean society.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cho\u2019s daughter, Cho Min, became a figure of public scrutiny among young South Koreans due to the controversy over her forged admissions documents, which resulted in the health ministry <\/span>revoking her medical license<\/span><\/a> in 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

This incident, compounded by revelations about Cho\u2019s wife\u2019s involvement in falsifying those documents, has exacerbated perceptions of inequality, highlighting the disparities in opportunities between the elite and the general population.<\/span><\/p>\n

This sentiment of disillusionment extends to the media landscape, with progressive newspapers like <\/span>Kyunghyang<\/span><\/i><\/a> and <\/span>Hankyoreh<\/span><\/i><\/a>, traditionally sympathetic to the DP, offering sharp critiques of Cho\u2019s actions and their implications for societal values.<\/span><\/p>\n

This criticism reflects a broader concern about the disconnect between the political establishment and the younger generation\u2019s expectations for transparency and accountability.<\/span><\/p>\n

Polling data reveals a stark generational gap in support for Cho\u2019s RKP, with minimal backing from those in their 20s and 30s, despite stable support from older demographics. This lack of enthusiasm among younger voters poses a significant challenge to Cho\u2019s political aspirations and the DP\u2019s credibility if they form an alliance.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Cho\u2019s popularity will not save him from potential jail time. While he claims his two-year sentence results from \u201cprosecutorial dictatorship,\u201d the judiciary\u2019s independence from the presidential office leaves his political future uncertain.<\/span><\/p>\n

If the Supreme Court upholds his sentence, Cho will be disqualified from his National Assembly seat and have to surrender it to the next RKP proportional candidate.<\/span><\/p>\n

Despite the risks, Cho\u2019s growing popularity within certain segments of the progressive base suggests a potential path back to political relevance post-sentence.<\/span><\/p>\n

Integrating Cho into the party poses significant challenges for the DP, as convincing young voters to return to the fold will remain a formidable task for the foreseeable future.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by John Lee<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a>Elections 2024<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Editor\u2019s note: Korea Pro\u2019s regular \u2018Election Watch\u2019 series covers key political developments in South Korea leading to the April 10 General Elections. Cho Kuk, South Korea\u2019s former justice minister, has re-emerged as a significant political figure despite facing corruption charges and a subsequent prison sentence. His leadership of the newly established Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5770,"featured_media":2204311,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27,34],"class_list":["post-2204304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-domestic-politics","tag-korea-elections-2024"],"yoast_head":"\nFormer justice minister\u2019s comeback splits progressives along generational lines - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/03\/former-justice-ministers-comeback-splits-progressives-along-generational-lines\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Former justice minister\u2019s comeback splits progressives along generational lines - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Editor\u2019s note: Korea Pro\u2019s regular \u2018Election Watch\u2019 series covers key political developments in South Korea leading to the April 10 General Elections. 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