{"id":2203338,"date":"2024-01-03T17:33:08","date_gmt":"2024-01-03T08:33:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2203338"},"modified":"2024-01-04T17:04:11","modified_gmt":"2024-01-04T08:04:11","slug":"leadership-challenges-shake-south-koreas-major-parties-before-general-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/01\/leadership-challenges-shake-south-koreas-major-parties-before-general-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Leadership challenges shake South Korea\u2019s major parties before general election"},"content":{"rendered":"

As South Korea approaches its general elections on April 10, the political scene is fraught with challenges for both the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the main opposition Democratic Party (DP). These elections are pivotal, serving as a midterm assessment of the Yoon Suk-yeol administration.<\/span><\/p>\n

CHALLENGES CONFRONTING THE RULING PARTY<\/b><\/p>\n

The PPP and Yoon have had to deal with persistently low approval ratings within the <\/span>30% range<\/span><\/a>. The party\u2019s challenges are compounded by the DP-controlled National Assembly\u2019s passage of the \u201c<\/span>Kim Keon-hee Special Prosecutor Act<\/span><\/a>\u201d \u2014 a bill to establish a special counsel probe into the first lady\u2019s alleged stock manipulation.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon <\/span>stated<\/span><\/a> on Dec. 28 that he would veto the bill, which forces the PPP to expend political capital to defend the president and the first lady, diverting from its legislative priorities. This stance is further exacerbated by recent <\/span>polls<\/span><\/a> that indicate that 70% of voters support the law.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon\u2019s likely veto could pose a significant challenge to the PPP. The situation highlights the party\u2019s need for a strategic approach to decision-making and policy implementation, according to Park Sung-min, a political commentator and the founder of MIN Consulting.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe president has said repeatedly that he wishes to implement three major reforms: pension, labor and education. But he hasn\u2019t been able to do so because of the ruling party\u2019s minority status in the National Assembly,\u201d Park Sung-min told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cWhile bipartisan support to push for pension reform is possible, the PPP needs a stronger majority to push ahead with education and labor reforms. But winning enough votes to retake the majority will be difficult given current electoral projections,\u201d he added.<\/span><\/p>\n

Park Si-young, a political analyst and former head of WinG Korea Consulting, concurred with Park Sung-min\u2019s assessment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe extent of the public\u2019s criticism of the government\u2019s performance is substantial and represents the PPP\u2019s most significant problem,\u201d Park Si-young said.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe issue the Yoon administration faces is whether it can address citizens\u2019 concerns and have that lead to electoral gains,\u201d Jo Sung-Hwan, a professor at Kyonggi University Graduate School of Political Studies, told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIn the current political climate, it appears that polls have difficulty with reflecting objectivity and neutrality, making it more difficult to predict the electoral outcome,\u201d Jo explained to <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

PPP lawmakers protest the DP\u2019s passage of the \u201cKim Keon-hee Special Prosecutor Act,\u201d Dec 28, 2023 | Image: People Power Party<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

THE OPPOSITION PARTY\u2019S WOES<\/b><\/p>\n

The DP also faces significant challenges, including judicial risks associated with its leader Lee Jae-myung, ethical issues, internal factional disputes and complications arising from candidate nominations.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cUnder Lee Jae-myung\u2019s leadership, the DP\u2019s future is uncertain. The party will hold him accountable if it loses parliamentary seats in the upcoming election, particularly in light of Lee\u2019s legal issues. A victory may mitigate internal conflicts, but Lee\u2019s trials could still impact the party significantly,\u201d Park Sung-min told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

After a significant number of DP lawmakers sided with their PPP counterparts to <\/span>strip him of his parliamentary immunity<\/span><\/a> in September, Lee faces court hearings to determine the veracity of allegations that prosecutors have charged against him during his time as mayor of Seongnam City and governor of Gyeonggi Province.<\/span><\/p>\n

His court hearings will likely be delayed in light of the <\/span>assassination<\/span><\/a> attempt against him on Tuesday.<\/span><\/p>\n

Further, even if the DP is victorious in the general election, it is unlikely that it will win enough seats to overcome Yoon\u2019s presidential veto power, Park Sung-min said.<\/span><\/p>\n

Additionally, the likely emergence of a new progressive party headed by former leader Lee Nak-yon poses a challenge. Lee Nak-yon has demanded Lee Jae-myung step down as party leader to ensure that his legal troubles do not obstruct the party\u2019s electoral prospects.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Lee Jae-myung\u2019s <\/span>refusal to resign<\/span><\/a> has compelled Lee Nak-yon to announce he would form his own progressive party, dimming prospects for reconciliation between the current and former party leaders. It remains unclear how the assassination attempt against Lee Jae-myung will impact Lee Nak-yon\u2019s decision to form his own party.<\/span><\/p>\n

If Lee Nak-yon goes ahead with forming a new party, the DP faces the risk of a split in its traditional supporter base, especially in its stronghold of Honam.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Then-DP leader Lee Nak-yon answers questions during a press conference, Dec 13, 2020 | Image: <\/em>Democratic Party of Korea<\/em><\/a><\/p><\/div>\n

PERIOD OF DIVISION<\/b><\/p>\n

\u201cWe are currently in a phase of division, contrasting with previous periods of unification in our four-yearly general elections,\u201d Park Sung-min of MIN Consulting told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>, remarking on the shifting nature of South Korea\u2019s political landscape.<\/span><\/p>\n

The DP is not alone in facing internal dissent. Last month, former PPP leader Lee Jun-seok announced his decision to defect to form a new conservative party. The sudden emergence of new parties presents voters with a more fragmented political landscape, as disenchanted lawmakers from the more established parties might gravitate toward these new entities, creating a less predictable election scenario.<\/span><\/p>\n

Despite these shifts, Park Si-young of WinG Korea Consulting believes that the notion of the upcoming election serving as a referendum on the Yoon administration\u2019s performance will persist, especially with the DP leading the opposition.<\/span><\/p>\n

He stressed the importance of effective issue management by each party, warning that the DP could jeopardize its electoral prospects if it displays excessive caution.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cEvery party faces risks, and issues always arise. How well the parties manage those risks is essential. If voters perceive the DP as being too cautious, it might not be able to maintain its parliamentary majority,\u201d Park Si-young said.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, Kyonggi University\u2019s Jo gave a different assessment regarding the parties\u2019 cautiousness.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cBoth parties appear to be going on the political offensive to discredit each other as much as possible instead of offering concrete policies. Further, these political offensives are tinged with \u2018fandom politics,\u2019 which will likely invite voters\u2019 scrutiny of each party,\u201d Jo said.<\/span><\/p>\n

Park Sung-min added that legislative challenges parties faced in the past often resulted from not having enough seats in the National Assembly. However, this dynamic might change post-election. Even if the DP or PPP wins a majority of parliamentary seats, they will still face legislative differences, but, this time, due to intra-party conflicts.<\/span><\/p>\n

He also pointed out that if the DP loses its majority in the general election, it will likely have a cascading effect of causing it to lose in future elections.<\/span><\/p>\n

While Park Sung-min expects the country\u2019s foreign and security policies to remain unchanged post-election, he cautioned that other legislative areas that deal with domestic issues might be more prone to changes due to the shifting political environment.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe critical question now is what comes next,\u201d Park Sung-min told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>. \u201cThe PPP was unable to prevent internal division, and it seems that the DP may also struggle to maintain unity. The key issue to observe is whether those who have departed from these parties will form their own independent entities or unite under a single new party. However, predicting these developments at this stage is impossible.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by John Lee<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As South Korea approaches its general elections on April 10, the political scene is fraught with challenges for both the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the main opposition Democratic Party (DP). These elections are pivotal, serving as a midterm assessment of the Yoon Suk-yeol administration. CHALLENGES CONFRONTING THE RULING PARTY The PPP and Yoon […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10781,"featured_media":2203339,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27],"yoast_head":"\nLeadership challenges shake South Korea\u2019s major parties before general election - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2024\/01\/leadership-challenges-shake-south-koreas-major-parties-before-general-election\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Leadership challenges shake South Korea\u2019s major parties before general election - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As South Korea approaches its general elections on April 10, the political scene is fraught with challenges for both the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the main opposition Democratic Party (DP). 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