{"id":2201017,"date":"2023-05-16T20:03:24","date_gmt":"2023-05-16T11:03:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2201017"},"modified":"2023-11-20T18:03:34","modified_gmt":"2023-11-20T09:03:34","slug":"why-the-japanese-public-is-skeptical-of-south-koreas-push-to-improve-ties","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/05\/why-the-japanese-public-is-skeptical-of-south-koreas-push-to-improve-ties\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the Japanese public is skeptical of South Korea\u2019s push to improve ties"},"content":{"rendered":"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol is charting a new course in his nation\u2019s relations with Japan, veering away from his predecessor’s strategy of weaponizing Korean nationalism and elevating historical wrongdoings.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Seoul\u2019s new focus is on mending frayed ties by pursuing a future-oriented relationship rather than one anchored in the past.<\/span><\/p>\n

This strategy, largely driven by geopolitical factors and national security interests, is intended to foster closer ties with the only other democracy and U.S. ally in the region. Yet, the ultimate success of this initiative remains uncertain. It hinges heavily on achieving tangible outcomes, creating compelling incentives, and effectively navigating the ever-changing political landscape.<\/span><\/p>\n

In a <\/span>comprehensive summit<\/span><\/a> that lasted a little over an hour and a half, Yoon and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida discussed an array of topics pertinent to both nations. These ranged from the Fukushima <\/span>radioactive water<\/span><\/a> issue to Tokyo\u2019s reinstatement of Seoul on a preferential trade partner list.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kishida notably mentioned that his \u201cheart ached\u201d for the Korean victims of Japanese colonialism, a seemingly plotted expression of sentiment <\/span>added late<\/span><\/a> to his agenda. Despite this personal statement and the symbolic visit to the Seoul National Cemetery, the <\/span>summit<\/span><\/a> primarily sidestepped any in-depth discussion of historical disputes between the two nations.<\/span><\/p>\n

Recent polling data suggests <\/span>cautious optimism<\/span><\/a> among the Japanese public regarding the overtures between the two leaders. However, experts stress the need for concrete results if any positive shift in relations is to be sustained.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Two couples of South Korean and Japanese leaders are waving their hands toward the audience on May 7, 2023 | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

NO NEED TO KNEEL<\/b><\/p>\n

In a departure from his predecessor, Moon Jae-in, Yoon stated in a recent <\/span>Washington Post<\/span><\/i> interview<\/span><\/a> his rejection of the idea that \u201cJapan must kneel because of our history 100 years ago.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

The Moon administration reopened old wounds in early 2018 when it pressed Japan for a <\/span>new apology<\/span><\/a> for sexual slavery during World War II. Then-Prime Minister Shinzo Abe <\/span>dismissed<\/span><\/a> these calls, triggering, along with other developments, a low point in ROK-Japan relations.<\/span><\/p>\n

Contrary to its predecessor\u2019s retrospection, the current administration has expressed its aspiration for a <\/span>\u201c<\/span>future-oriented<\/span><\/a>\u201d<\/span> relationship with Tokyo. Yoon\u2019s remarks have not gone unnoticed among the Japanese public, with his assertion that Japan need not \u201ckneel\u201d gaining traction on Korean <\/span>social media<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI think the South Korean president\u2019s statements regarding historical awareness are quite brave and considerably drastic from how the country presently views history,\u201d said Kan Kimura, a professor at Kobe University\u2019s Graduate School of International Cooperation Studies.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon\u2019s apparent desire to move relations forward is illustrated by moves like opting to address the forced Korean labor issue through <\/span>local foundations<\/span><\/a> instead of liquidating assets from Japanese firms operating in South Korea, an act that would have further eroded ties.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Unsurprisingly, South Korea\u2019s main opposition Democratic Party (DP) \u2014 the party Moon Jae-in led \u2014 is working to <\/span>thwart Yoon\u2019s initiatives<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A recent <\/span>survey<\/span><\/a> conducted by the <\/span>Asahi Shimbun<\/span><\/i>, a Japanese newspaper, reported that most Japanese were positive about Yoon\u2019s visit to Tokyo and the result of the forced labor dispute. But only 37% of respondents held the belief that ROK-Japan relations would veer in a positive direction.<\/span><\/p>\n

While only a small fraction predicted a deterioration, a significant majority anticipated no change, hinting that more persuasive efforts might be necessary.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cIf the Yoon administration can maintain and continue this posture and commitment, the Japanese public\u2019s concerns may gradually change, and the Japanese public\u2019s perception of the Yoon administration [may improve], though not completely,\u201d said Sachio Nakato, a professor of international relations at Ritsumeikan University.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol and Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio walking side by side on May 7, 2023 | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES<\/b><\/p>\n

Regardless of public opinion on both sides, experts told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i> that the prevailing geopolitical dynamics in Northeast Asia are pushing South Korea to foster closer ties with Japan.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI think it\u2019s pretty clear from Yoon\u2019s <\/span>March 1 address<\/span><\/a> that he has an understanding of history from a Cold War perspective rather than from a colonial one,\u201d said Kimura of Kobe University.<\/span><\/p>\n

The widening rift between South Korea and the DPRK, coupled with a more <\/span>hardline policy<\/span><\/a> toward Pyongyang, has arguably ratcheted up tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Given the slim prospects of Pyongyang returning to the negotiating table, Yoon has pivoted to bolster trilateral cooperation with the U.S. and Japan.<\/span><\/p>\n

Masatoshi Muto<\/span><\/a>, a former Japanese ambassador to South Korea, recently analyzed Yoon\u2019s diplomatic strategy. He posited, \u201cThe ultimate goal of Yoon\u2019s diplomacy is to establish U.S. commitment against North Korea\u2019s nuclear development, which is the greatest threat to South Korea\u2019s national security.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

So far, Yoon, Biden and Kishida have seized every available opportunity to underscore the significance of trilateral relations. Instances include the U.S.’s <\/span>invitation<\/span><\/a> to Japanese and South Korean admirals to join them aboard a nuclear submarine and plans for a <\/span>tripartite meeting<\/span><\/a> on the sidelines of the upcoming G-7 summit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Last month, South Korea and Japan conducted their first <\/span>security dialogue<\/span><\/a> in half a decade in Seoul, underlining both nations\u2019 eagerness to improve communication. Yoon, at the most recent leaders\u2019 meeting, emphasized the importance of security cooperation not just for South Korea and Japan but for \u201cworld peace and prosperity in the face of the current international situation and the global crisis.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

However, the pressing question remains: will this current wave of rapprochement yield tangible results?<\/span><\/p>\n

Muto also writes that it would be \u201cdifficult for the U.S. military to defend South Korea without Japanese cooperation,\u201d which only furthers Seoul\u2019s motivation to improve relations with Tokyo.<\/span><\/p>\n

AN UNCERTAIN FUTURE<\/b><\/p>\n

However, South Korean presidents are not the sole factor in good relations with Japan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The most significant obstacle to Yoon\u2019s diplomatic advances toward Japan is the strong and vocal main opposition Democratic Party. With four years remaining amid low approval ratings, Yoon\u2019s position seems precarious.<\/span><\/p>\n

Further, if <\/span>Donald Trump<\/span><\/a> wins reelection next year,\u00a0 a sharp pivot from current U.S. foreign policy could offer the momentum Seoul\u2019s Democrats need to recapture the presidency in 2027.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cEven if conservatives win the next election, as we observed, the first three years of the Park Geun-hye administration and the last year of the Lee Myung-bak administration [show that] when history issues become politicized, it is possible for the two countries to move toward the confrontational stage,\u201d noted Nakato of Ritsumeikan University.<\/span><\/p>\n

While Kishida\u2019s remarks on Japanese colonialism might not appease South Korea\u2019s opposition parties, and the largest faction of Japan\u2019s ruling Liberal Democratic Party opposes issuing further apologies, experts believe tangible incentives will be more crucial for the long-term relationship.<\/span><\/p>\n

The decision by Japan and South Korea to resume \u201cshuttle diplomacy\u201d seems a positive step with analysts <\/span>noting<\/span><\/a> such regular communication has helped past Japanese governments to mitigate disagreements with Seoul.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

For instance, the recent decision by Seoul and Tokyo to <\/span>link<\/span><\/a> their radar systems to better track North Korean missiles exemplifies mutually beneficial cooperation, a critical factor going forward.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe problem is to show people of both countries how we can cooperate and what kind of benefits we can take from here,\u201d said Kimura of Kobe University. \u201cIf there are no incentives, people won\u2019t cooperate and you won\u2019t be able to change public opinion.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

\u200b\u200b<\/span>Edited by John Lee<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a>Inter-Korean & Foreign Relations<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol is charting a new course in his nation\u2019s relations with Japan, veering away from his predecessor’s strategy of weaponizing Korean nationalism and elevating historical wrongdoings.\u00a0 Seoul\u2019s new focus is on mending frayed ties by pursuing a future-oriented relationship rather than one anchored in the past. This strategy, largely driven by […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10207,"featured_media":2201018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27,28],"class_list":["post-2201017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-domestic-politics","tag-inter-korean-foreign-relations"],"yoast_head":"\nWhy the Japanese public is skeptical of South Korea\u2019s push to improve ties - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/05\/why-the-japanese-public-is-skeptical-of-south-koreas-push-to-improve-ties\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why the Japanese public is skeptical of South Korea\u2019s push to improve ties - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol is charting a new course in his nation\u2019s relations with Japan, veering away from his predecessor’s strategy of weaponizing Korean nationalism and elevating historical wrongdoings.\u00a0 Seoul\u2019s new focus is on mending frayed ties by pursuing a future-oriented relationship rather than one anchored in the past. 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