{"id":2200787,"date":"2023-04-21T18:30:51","date_gmt":"2023-04-21T09:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2200787"},"modified":"2023-11-20T18:17:34","modified_gmt":"2023-11-20T09:17:34","slug":"why-the-us-rok-summit-will-be-an-important-litmus-test-for-yoons-foreign-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/04\/why-the-us-rok-summit-will-be-an-important-litmus-test-for-yoons-foreign-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the US-ROK summit will be an important litmus test for Yoon\u2019s foreign policy"},"content":{"rendered":"

The upcoming April 26 summit between Presidents Joe Biden and Yoon Suk-yeol will be an important bellwether to gauge how and whether Seoul\u2019s diplomatic ventures have successfully bolstered the country\u2019s security and economic prospects.<\/span><\/p>\n

As North Korea\u2019s threat continues to grow and geopolitical rifts and <\/span>financial instability<\/span><\/a> persist, South Korea\u2019s export-reliant economy faces <\/span>challenges<\/span><\/a>. In response, Yoon has prioritized the U.S. as Seoul\u2019s most important partner in overcoming these difficulties. Since taking office last year, Yoon has worked to prove Seoul\u2019s value as a high-tech, democratic ally to Washington.<\/span><\/p>\n

In a <\/span>departure<\/span><\/a> from previous administrations, Yoon\u2019s government has supported and joined U.S.-led initiatives in the Indo-Pacific, such as the <\/span>Chip 4 semiconductor grouping<\/span><\/a> and the Summit for Democracy, even at the risk of upsetting China, South Korea\u2019s largest trading partner.<\/span><\/p>\n

Seoul also announced its <\/span>Indo-Pacific strategy<\/span><\/a> last year, signaling its support for the rules-based, liberal world order, according to Go Myong-hyun, a research fellow at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon further aligned Seoul with the Western world by <\/span>establishing<\/span><\/a> a mission to NATO and hinting that he is considering providing <\/span>military assistance for Ukraine<\/span><\/a> \u2014 something the previous Moon administration was reluctant to do to avoid offending Moscow.<\/span><\/p>\n

Seoul also presented a plan in March to resolve a historical dispute with Japan on forced labor, drawing criticism from <\/span>victims\u2019 groups<\/span><\/a> and accusations from <\/span>political opponents<\/span><\/a> that Yoon is appeasing the country\u2019s former colonizer. At the same time, Yoon incurred Beijing\u2019s anger by <\/span>saying<\/span><\/a> that regional stability around the Taiwan Strait is \u201ca global issue.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

However, the returns on Yoon\u2019s diplomatic efforts thus far have not been as evident as expected. The upcoming D.C. trip presents an opportunity to secure outcomes that he can show voters to justify his foreign policy choices.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon must deliver concrete results. His approval rating dipped to <\/span>27%<\/span><\/a> last week before slightly rebounding to <\/span>31%<\/span><\/a>, and respondents pointed to his foreign policy initiatives as the most significant factor for their disapproval.<\/span><\/p>\n

A NUCLEAR SHARING PLAN?<\/b><\/p>\n

Among the topics that Yoon and Biden will address in their joint statement to further advance their 70-year-old alliance, Yoon\u2019s priority will be establishing specific details on deterring North Korea\u2019s nuclear capabilities.<\/span><\/p>\n

As the DPRK regime improves its <\/span>asymmetrical capabilities<\/span><\/a> and develops weapons that can avoid detection, weakening the allies\u2019 defenses, the usual reiterations of the \u201cironclad\u201d alliance have become tedious and worryingly insufficient.<\/span><\/p>\n

Following a <\/span>barrage of missile testing<\/span><\/a> by Pyongyang last year, Seoul and Washington agreed to strengthen extended deterrence \u2014 the U.S. policy of defending its allies from nuclear or conventional attack \u2014 and revive large-scale joint military drills and <\/span>nuclear planning tabletop exercises<\/span><\/a> (TTXs), which were downscaled or halted for around five years.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, the measures agreed upon at last November\u2019s <\/span>Security Consultative Meeting<\/span><\/a> have not deterred North Korea from testing missiles or reassured the South Korean public. <\/span>Over 70%<\/span><\/a> of South Koreans now believe the country should acquire nuclear weapons.<\/span><\/p>\n

With American voters <\/span>reluctant<\/span><\/a> to spend tax dollars on maintaining U.S. troop presence worldwide, South Koreans have grown skeptical about the level of protection the U.S. would provide in the event of a North Korean nuclear attack.<\/span><\/p>\n

As a result, Seoul seeks to establish a tangible course of action for the execution and effectiveness of extended deterrence, according to a high-level government official on Friday. President Yoon Suk-yeol has pushed for a <\/span>nuclear planning arrangement<\/span><\/a> with the U.S., which would give South Korea more of a say in planning and operating responses to North Korean attacks.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The U.S. has reportedly <\/span>acknowledged<\/span><\/a> Seoul\u2019s desire to expand deterrence by increasing operability, such as nuclear planning and execution. This week, defense officials <\/span>committed to<\/span><\/a> accelerating the expansion of South Korea\u2019s role under the combined defense system.<\/span><\/p>\n

The details are crucial, and some <\/span>observers<\/span><\/a> expect Biden and Yoon\u2019s joint statement might even include a plan modeled after <\/span>NATO\u2019s nuclear sharing arrangements<\/span><\/a>. If adopted, the U.S. might <\/span>redeploy tactical nuclear weapons<\/span><\/a> in South Korea and operate them in consultation with local leaders as in Germany and elsewhere.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

US, South Korean and Japanese navies conduct a joint exercise, April 4, 2023 | Image: ROK Ministry of National Defense Facebook<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

YOON\u2019S \u201cSALES DIPLOMACY\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

Yoon Suk-yeol will also have to secure significant gains for South Korea\u2019s export-heavy industries. As the self-professed \u201c<\/span>No. 1 salesman<\/span><\/a>\u201d of the country, his primary goal will be to advocate for regulatory flexibility regarding Washington\u2019s industrial policies that disadvantage foreign firms.<\/span><\/p>\n

During Biden\u2019s Asia trip last May, South Korea\u2019s most prominent tech and auto firms pledged billion-dollar investments, only to have the Biden administration pass legislation that seriously <\/span>threatens their presence<\/span><\/a> in the U.S. market.<\/span><\/p>\n

The <\/span>Inflation Reduction Act<\/span><\/a> passed by Congress last year rules out tax credits for electric vehicles assembled outside North America. Under the U.S. Treasury\u2019s <\/span>new subsidy rules<\/span><\/a> on battery sourcing, Hyundai and Kia would lose out on $7,500 in tax credits, while U.S. firms like Tesla and General Motors still qualify.<\/span><\/p>\n

At the same time, the <\/span>U.S. CHIPS and Science Act\u2019s<\/span><\/a> guidance on subsidies requires chipmakers to share confidential information. It also restricts them from expanding into foreign countries of concern, namely China.<\/span><\/p>\n

U.S. allies, including Seoul and Brussels, have expressed concerns through various channels, feeling misled by <\/span>Biden\u2019s friend-shoring policy<\/span><\/a>. Yoon will likely personally appeal to mitigate or reduce uncertainty for South Korea\u2019s carmakers and chip firms.<\/span><\/p>\n

In addition to seeking concessions, Yoon hopes to create opportunities for Korean businesses to expand their networks in the U.S. and attract new investments.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon\u2019s office <\/span>said Wednesday<\/span><\/a> that creating an \u201cadvanced tech alliance\u201d would be the purpose of the president\u2019s sales diplomacy, with seven economy-related events aimed at securing supply chain cooperation, science and tech partnerships and corporate investment.<\/span><\/p>\n

The leaders of Samsung, SK Hynix, Hyundai and LG are expected to accompany him on the trip as part of the business delegation, which will <\/span>reportedly<\/span><\/a> be the largest the country has ever sent abroad.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon\u2019s entourage of approximately 122 corporate leaders will also include small- and mid-sized firms in high-tech sectors such as semiconductors, batteries, electric vehicles and renewable energy, with a business roundtable event in Washington.<\/span><\/p>\n

A roundtable of <\/span>biotech and pharmaceutical firms<\/span><\/a> will make a notable addition as Yoon pushes to foster a <\/span>biohealth industry<\/span><\/a> modeled after an innovation cluster in Boston. Given South Korea\u2019s popular cultural content, another key event will be a global video content forum, which Paramount, Sony Pictures and Walt Disney will attend.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cAhead of the National Assembly elections in 2024, Yoon needs a successful summit to build political capital at home.\u201d Mason Richey, a professor of international politics at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, told <\/span>Korea Pro<\/span><\/i>.<\/span><\/p>\n

As <\/span>nine out of 10<\/span><\/a> South Koreans believe the U.S. is their top partner for cooperation, the pressure is on for Yoon to deliver.<\/span><\/p>\n

The critical question is how much Biden is prepared to offer Yoon beyond standard optics and fanciful speeches to celebrate the 70-year-old alliance.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The optics of Yoon speaking at the U.S. Congress and visiting leading universities will undoubtedly look impressive. However, the fine print of the joint statement will determine whether the political costs he incurred domestically and internationally have been worthwhile.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by John Lee<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Defense & Security<\/span><\/a>Inter-Korean & Foreign Relations<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The upcoming April 26 summit between Presidents Joe Biden and Yoon Suk-yeol will be an important bellwether to gauge how and whether Seoul\u2019s diplomatic ventures have successfully bolstered the country\u2019s security and economic prospects. As North Korea\u2019s threat continues to grow and geopolitical rifts and financial instability persist, South Korea\u2019s export-reliant economy faces challenges. In […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10407,"featured_media":2200788,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[26,28],"class_list":["post-2200787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-defense-security","tag-inter-korean-foreign-relations"],"yoast_head":"\nWhy the US-ROK summit will be an important litmus test for Yoon\u2019s foreign policy - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/04\/why-the-us-rok-summit-will-be-an-important-litmus-test-for-yoons-foreign-policy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Why the US-ROK summit will be an important litmus test for Yoon\u2019s foreign policy - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The upcoming April 26 summit between Presidents Joe Biden and Yoon Suk-yeol will be an important bellwether to gauge how and whether Seoul\u2019s diplomatic ventures have successfully bolstered the country\u2019s security and economic prospects. 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