{"id":2200363,"date":"2023-03-10T18:02:01","date_gmt":"2023-03-10T09:02:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2200363"},"modified":"2023-04-05T16:07:59","modified_gmt":"2023-04-05T07:07:59","slug":"yoon-suk-yeols-state-visit-to-the-us-could-be-his-greatest-challenge-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/03\/yoon-suk-yeols-state-visit-to-the-us-could-be-his-greatest-challenge-yet\/","title":{"rendered":"Yoon Suk-yeol\u2019s state visit to the US could be his greatest challenge yet"},"content":{"rendered":"

The White House <\/span>announced<\/span><\/a> this week that President Yoon Suk-yeol will make a state visit to the U.S. on April 26 for a summit with President Joe Biden, the first such visit by an ROK leader in <\/span>12 years<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The high-profile nature of the visit speaks to the importance the two leaders place on their alliance. But the summit also comes at a sensitive time for U.S.-ROK ties, as Washington\u2019s protectionist policies and efforts to contain China risk hurting South Korean firms.<\/span><\/p>\n

Although Yoon is staunchly pro-U.S., successfully managing voters\u2019 expectations at home and his allies abroad will be a tall order. As next year\u2019s election approaches, how well he does could shape the rest of his presidency.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

DOMESTIC GRUMBLINGS<\/b><\/p>\n

Listening to Yoon\u2019s speeches, one would be forgiven for thinking there aren\u2019t any issues or tensions between Seoul and Washington. The president has often remarked on the importance of liberal democracy and the alliance with the U.S. and did so again in his <\/span>address<\/span><\/a> to the ruling People Power Party\u2019s (PPP) national convention.<\/span><\/p>\n

However, voters\u2019 feelings toward the U.S. have visibly cooled in the past year. A <\/span>study<\/span><\/a> published by Seoul University\u2019s Institute for Peace and Unification Studies showed that South Koreans who say the country should strengthen cooperation with the U.S. fell from 45.7% in 2021 to 39.9% in 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

While South Koreans\u2019 perceptions of the U.S. have <\/span>improved<\/span><\/a> since <\/span>Biden<\/span><\/a> became president, Seoul University\u2019s findings are notable since the loss of enthusiasm for cooperation with the U.S. comes as <\/span>unfavorable<\/span><\/a> views of China have hit record highs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Two factors contributing to these cooling attitudes are the <\/span>Inflation Reduction Act<\/span><\/a> (IRA) and the <\/span>CHIPS and Science Act<\/span><\/a> (CHIPS).<\/span><\/p>\n

When the IRA went into effect in Aug. 2022, it stipulated that only electric vehicles (EVs) assembled in North America are eligible for federal tax credits, thus disqualifying the EVs of South Korean car manufacturers like Hyundai.<\/span><\/p>\n

Despite Biden\u2019s <\/span>claim<\/span><\/a> that \u201cAmerica is back\u201d after taking office, his administration has continued Trump-era protectionist policies, which has sent the Yoon administration <\/span>scrambling<\/span><\/a> to defend ROK companies\u2019 business interests.<\/span><\/p>\n

South Korean and U.S. officials have met numerous times over Seoul\u2019s dissatisfaction with the IRA, but so far, the U.S. has only <\/span>offered<\/span><\/a> a limited exception for commercial use EVs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Notably, when Biden visited the ROK in May 2022, he met with Hyundai Motor Group Chairman Chung Eui-sun to thank the auto giant for its <\/span>plans<\/span><\/a> to invest $10.5 billion to build an EV and battery plant in Georgia, which is projected to create over 8,000 American jobs.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cSo, Chairman Chung, thank you again for choosing the United States,\u201d Biden <\/span>said<\/span><\/a>. \u201cWe will not let you down.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

The irony of his statement has not been lost on South Koreans.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

President Joe Biden meets with Hyundai Motor Group chairman Chung Eui-sun on May 22, 2022 | Image: The White House via Flickr<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

TUG OF WAR<\/b><\/p>\n

A similar dynamic has played out over CHIPS. When Biden visited Samsung Electronics\u2019 Pyeongtaek Campus in May, he <\/span>said<\/span><\/a>, \u201cThis plant also reflects the close bonds in innovation between our countries.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

But with the passage of the CHIPS Act, the U.S. has given Samsung Electronics only one year to continue operating its semiconductor facilities in China without violating the law. After the one-year grace period ends, the U.S. will <\/span>limit<\/span><\/a> Samsung Electronics\u2019 ability to operate in China.<\/span><\/p>\n

The two episodes have demonstrated to South Koreans that a closer partnership with the U.S. is not risk-free.<\/span><\/p>\n

Further exacerbating the situation are Biden and Yoon\u2019s clashing interests. That the White House agreed to elevate Yoon\u2019s trip to a state visit speaks to the degree of cooperation Biden expects from Yoon on issues involving North Korea and China.<\/span><\/p>\n

Biden will find it easy to get Yoon\u2019s cooperation in isolating the DPRK, but he will discover cooperation much more difficult to come by with regard to China.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The PPP leadership race is over, and a <\/span>firm loyalist<\/span><\/a> is at the party\u2019s helm, while the main opposition party\u2019s leader faces one <\/span>scandal<\/span><\/a> after <\/span>another<\/span><\/a>. Now, Yoon and the PPP must deliver results before next year\u2019s parliamentary elections. This summit with Biden provides the first opportunity to do that. Failure could doom their attempt to retake majority control of the National Assembly from the main opposition Democratic Party (DP).<\/span><\/p>\n

Over the past year, the ROK economy has logged continual <\/span>record deficits<\/span><\/a>, primarily due to sluggish demand for semiconductors. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) <\/span>projects<\/span><\/a> the South Korean economy to grow by only 1.7% this year. As a result, South Korean voters will not accept acquiescing to U.S. demands on ROK chip manufacturers when the economy is more vulnerable than it has been in years.<\/span><\/p>\n

But Biden will be hard-pressed to grant South Korean semiconductor manufacturers an extension to continue producing in China. If he does so, Washington will likely be inundated with similar requests from other manufacturers, rendering the CHIPS Act toothless.<\/span><\/p>\n

THE JAPAN FACTOR<\/b><\/p>\n

The state visit announcement came after the ROK government announced a <\/span>compromise deal<\/span><\/a> with Japan to resolve the wartime forced labor issue, which critics called a \u201c<\/span>total defeat<\/span><\/a>\u201d but Washington welcomed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cThe United States will continue to support the leaders of Japan and the Republic of Korea as they take steps to translate this new understanding into enduring progress,\u201d the White House said in a <\/span>statement<\/span><\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

However, the compromise deal is proving unpopular: About <\/span>59%<\/span><\/a> of South Koreans oppose compensating former forced laborers with money paid by third-party entities instead of Japanese corporations which profited from their labor \u2014 the agreement\u2019s core idea.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Critics have painted the deal as selling out the victims\u2019 dignity and handing a \u201c<\/span>total victory<\/span><\/a>\u201d to Japan, and the state visit might be seen as the reward that Yoon got in exchange. Unless Yoon can deliver other wins on the economic front \u2014 a significant challenge in its own right \u2014 the South Korean public\u2019s opposition to the compromise deal will likely grow more robust. It could even contribute to a backlash against the U.S. for pushing the compromise.<\/span><\/p>\n

Neither the South Korean public nor his American allies will care much about the pomp and circumstance of Yoon\u2019s state visit. They expect results, and whether Yoon can navigate tensions with the U.S. to deliver those results remains to be seen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by Bryan Betts<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Business & Economy<\/span><\/a>Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a>Inter-Korean & Foreign Relations<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The White House announced this week that President Yoon Suk-yeol will make a state visit to the U.S. on April 26 for a summit with President Joe Biden, the first such visit by an ROK leader in 12 years.\u00a0 The high-profile nature of the visit speaks to the importance the two leaders place on their […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10407,"featured_media":2200364,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[24,27,28],"class_list":["post-2200363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-business-economy","tag-domestic-politics","tag-inter-korean-foreign-relations"],"yoast_head":"\nYoon Suk-yeol\u2019s state visit to the US could be his greatest challenge yet - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/03\/yoon-suk-yeols-state-visit-to-the-us-could-be-his-greatest-challenge-yet\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Yoon Suk-yeol\u2019s state visit to the US could be his greatest challenge yet - 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