{"id":2200288,"date":"2023-02-28T10:51:19","date_gmt":"2023-02-28T10:51:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/?p=2200288"},"modified":"2023-04-05T16:09:36","modified_gmt":"2023-04-05T07:09:36","slug":"south-koreas-opposition-leader-avoids-arrest-but-his-party-isnt-celebrating","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/02\/south-koreas-opposition-leader-avoids-arrest-but-his-party-isnt-celebrating\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korea\u2019s opposition leader avoids arrest, but his party isn\u2019t celebrating"},"content":{"rendered":"

The leader of the Democratic Party (DP) avoided arrest over bribery allegations after a narrow parliament vote on Monday, but Lee Jae-myung must now helm an opposition that is anything but united behind him.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prosecutors <\/span>accused<\/span><\/a> Lee of receiving millions of dollars from corporate sponsors as mayor of Seongnam. In exchange, Lee allegedly <\/span>used his authority<\/span><\/a> as mayor to provide unfair advantages to these organizations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

But Article 44 of the <\/span>ROK Constitution<\/span><\/a> states that incumbent lawmakers cannot be arrested or detained without the National Assembly\u2019s consent while the legislature is in session.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Lee\u2019s fate was put to vote on Monday, and the National Assembly voted to reject the government\u2019s request by a margin of one vote. The motion was voted down 139-138 with nine abstentions and 11 deemed invalid.<\/span><\/p>\n

Of the 297 lawmakers, all 114 People Power Party (PPP) lawmakers, six Justice Party lawmakers and one proportional representative announced they would vote for Lee\u2019s arrest on the private ballot. All 169 DP lawmakers attended the vote.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

While observers expected 121 votes in favor of Lee\u2019s arrest, the actual count came to 139. Once the abstention and invalid votes are taken into account, that means that anywhere from 18 to 38 DP lawmakers could have voted in favor of Lee\u2019s arrest or at least chosen not to vote to keep him out of jail \u2014 a surprising result underlining stronger-than-expected opposition to his leadership.<\/span><\/p>\n

OUT OF THE FRYING PAN, INTO THE FIRE<\/b><\/p>\n

Yesterday\u2019s plenary vote seemed to undermine Lee Jae-myung\u2019s often-repeated claims that the bribery investigation was merely an attempt by the Yoon Suk-yeol administration to <\/span>suppress the opposition<\/span><\/a> and that the DP was <\/span>united<\/span><\/a> behind him.<\/span><\/p>\n

Instead, the vote revealed that the DP is internally divided between pro and anti-Lee factions. Even though the arrest motion was rejected, the number of DP defectors is considerable. It is a clear warning sign to Lee revealing contempt for him within his own party.<\/span><\/p>\n

And Lee\u2019s troubles have only just begun. Monday\u2019s plenary vote was to determine Lee\u2019s arrest over a single charge \u2014 bribery allegations while he was Seongnam city mayor. But there are more serious charges, including a <\/span>real estate development scandal<\/span><\/a>, possibly violating <\/span>election laws<\/span><\/a> and <\/span>allegedly transferring<\/span><\/a> $8 million to North Korea in 2019.<\/span><\/p>\n

The justice ministry could submit additional requests for Lee\u2019s arrest for every investigation it has opened against him. If that happens, Lee will likely spend more time going to court than attending the National Assembly. And the assembly may ultimately allow his arrest with another vote.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prosecutors can still indict Lee over the bribery charge even though they cannot arrest him over it. So long as Lee leads the DP in the National Assembly, such a move \u2014 in conjunction with indictments over other charges \u2014 could strengthen the anti-Lee faction and embarrass his key supporters.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Lee Jae-myung and DP lawmakers meet to express solidarity against the prosecution\u2019s investigations into Lee, Feb. 17, 2023 | Image: Facebook<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

PARTY RUPTURE<\/b><\/p>\n

Article 80<\/span><\/a> of the DP\u2019s constitution, which was first <\/span>introduced<\/span><\/a> in 2015 when Moon Jae-in was the party\u2019s leader, states that the party\u2019s secretary-general may suspend the duties of party officials at all levels indicted for the charge of violating laws related to receiving bribes and illegal political funds and may request an investigation by the ethics committee at all levels.<\/span><\/p>\n

But on Feb. 26, just one day before the plenary vote to determine Lee\u2019s arrest, current DP secretary-general Cho Jeong-sik <\/span>said<\/span><\/a> during a press conference that Article 80 would not apply to Lee. Cho pointed to section 3 of the article, which also states that disciplinary actions may be reconsidered if it is deemed that there are unfair circumstances or reasons, such as political oppression against the individual who was indicted.<\/span><\/p>\n

With the ROK Constitution\u2019s Article 44 and the DP constitution\u2019s Article 80, critics have accused the DP of applying these laws and rules in ways that shield Lee Jae-myung from arrest. But even if prosecutors fail to arrest or detain him, indictments, trials and sentences will continue.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

With parliamentary elections a year away, the anti-Lee faction will continue to grow as more rank-and-file DP lawmakers perceive Lee as an impediment to their electoral chances.<\/span><\/p>\n

Over time, Lee\u2019s growing legal woes could lead to increased calls from within his party for his resignation as party leader \u2014 something he would never agree to, considering his presidential ambitions.<\/span><\/p>\n

This sets the stage for conflict between the factions. When the news reported that more DP lawmakers voted to arrest Lee than initially expected, the party\u2019s website <\/span>temporarily went down<\/span><\/a>. A sudden surge of Lee\u2019s supporters flooded the party\u2019s message board, demanding those lawmakers leave the party.<\/span><\/p>\n

As tensions between the factions worsen, it is no longer unthinkable that some DP lawmakers could split from the party.<\/span><\/p>\n

For now, Lee Jae-myung and the rest of the party\u2019s senior leadership will publicly remain calm and continue to repeat that the charges against him are fabrications manufactured by a president determined to establish a \u201c<\/span>prosecutorial dictatorship<\/span><\/a>.\u201d <\/span>
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

In private, however, the DP\u2019s leadership is likely deeply concerned.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by Arius Derr<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The leader of the Democratic Party (DP) avoided arrest over bribery allegations after a narrow parliament vote on Monday, but Lee Jae-myung must now helm an opposition that is anything but united behind him.\u00a0 Prosecutors accused Lee of receiving millions of dollars from corporate sponsors as mayor of Seongnam. In exchange, Lee allegedly used his […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10407,"featured_media":2200289,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27],"class_list":["post-2200288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-domestic-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nSouth Korea\u2019s opposition leader avoids arrest, but his party isn\u2019t celebrating - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/02\/south-koreas-opposition-leader-avoids-arrest-but-his-party-isnt-celebrating\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"South Korea\u2019s opposition leader avoids arrest, but his party isn\u2019t celebrating - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The leader of the Democratic Party (DP) avoided arrest over bribery allegations after a narrow parliament vote on Monday, but Lee Jae-myung must now helm an opposition that is anything but united behind him.\u00a0 Prosecutors accused Lee of receiving millions of dollars from corporate sponsors as mayor of Seongnam. 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