{"id":2199991,"date":"2023-02-02T10:25:35","date_gmt":"2023-02-02T10:25:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nknews.org\/koreapro\/?p=2199991"},"modified":"2023-04-05T16:09:50","modified_gmt":"2023-04-05T07:09:50","slug":"an-outsider-candidate-could-soon-lead-south-koreas-conservative-party","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/02\/an-outsider-candidate-could-soon-lead-south-koreas-conservative-party\/","title":{"rendered":"An outsider candidate could soon lead South Korea\u2019s conservative party"},"content":{"rendered":"

When President Yoon Suk-yeol <\/span>fired<\/span><\/a> legislator Na Kyung-won from key positions last month, he sent a clear message that Na did not have his blessing to be the next leader of the conservative People Power Party (PPP).<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u2019s poll numbers subsequently <\/span>plummeted<\/span><\/a> and her <\/span>frontrunner status<\/span><\/a> evaporated. She soon <\/span>announced<\/span><\/a> that she would not run for the ruling PPP\u2019s leadership election, as Yoon made his mark on his party.<\/span><\/p>\n

The result of Yoon\u2019s heavy-handed involvement in party politics has been to elevate Ahn Cheol-soo, a one-time political opponent who has rebranded as a Yoon supporter. But while party members may be hedging their bets against Yoon\u2019s unpopularity by opting for an outsider like Ahn, his elevation could anger long-term party supporters and kick off a new round of intra-party struggle.<\/span><\/p>\n

WAR OF THE LOYALISTS<\/b><\/p>\n

When Na <\/span>announced<\/span><\/a> that she would not run for the leadership election a week ago, political observers noted that the leadership race had come down to a choice between Kim Gi-hyeon and Ahn Cheol-soo <\/span>\u2014 two self-declared Yoon loyalists<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kim is a long-time conservative politician who<\/span> began his career<\/span><\/a> i<\/span>n 2003 as a spokesperson for the Grand National Party, while Ahn is a relative newcomer to conservative politics. Ahn joined the PPP in 2022 after he agreed to merge his now-defunct People Party with the PPP and <\/span>endorse<\/span><\/a> Yoon for the presidency when he faced off against Lee Jae-Myung.<\/span><\/p>\n

At the time of Na\u2019s announcement, internal PPP polls <\/span>indicated<\/span><\/a> that Kim was the heavy favorite to lead South Korea\u2019s ruling party. However, ROK politics is nothing if not dynamic. Days after Na\u2019s announcement, another potential leadership candidate, Yoo Seong-min, <\/span>announced<\/span><\/a> he would not run for party leader as polls showed that he has less than 10% support.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na had actually made a great effort to appear <\/span>deferential<\/span><\/a> to President Yoon, even as her <\/span>public disagreement<\/span><\/a> with his office\u2019s birth rate policy put her at odds with him. On the other hand, Yoo, a former four-term lawmaker, has been considered by many as a <\/span>critic<\/span><\/a> of Yoon from within the PPP.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u2019s decision not to run <\/span>doubled<\/span><\/a> Ahn\u2019s approval numbers, and Yoo\u2019s follow-up decision catapulted Ahn as <\/span>the new frontrunner<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

Rep. Kim Gi-hyeon gives a stump speech, Jan 28, 2023 | Image: Facebook<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

AN UNLIKELY CHOICE<\/b><\/p>\n

Kim and Ahn have highlighted their closeness with Yoon to make the case that they are the ideal candidate for the job, much to each other\u2019s <\/span>chagrin<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ahn <\/span>compared<\/span><\/a> his relationship with Yoon to that of <\/span>Son Heung-min and Harry Kane \u2014 professional soccer players for Tottenham Hotspur Football Club \u2014 stating that as party leader his relationship with Yoon would be \u201ca winning combination.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

But Ahn Cheol-soo is an unlikely choice to lead the country\u2019s main conservative party. He portrayed himself as a <\/span>progressive<\/span><\/a> during the 2012 presidential election before withdrawing from the race to endorse Moon Jae-in\u2019s unsuccessful presidential bid that year. At one point, he referred to himself as <\/span>the Bernie Sanders of Korea<\/span><\/a>. In 2017, he became a <\/span>centrist<\/span><\/a>; in 2022, he became a <\/span>conservative PPP lawmaker<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kim Gi-hyeon, on the other hand, had taken great pains to note that he\u2019s always been a steadfast conservative, <\/span>remarking<\/span><\/a> that he never left the party even when the PPP faced its darkest days after former president Park Geun-hye was impeached.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It was a barbed comment aimed at Yoo \u2014 who temporarily left the PPP in 2018 to form the now-defunct <\/span>Bareun Mirae Party<\/span><\/a> (BMP) <\/span>\u2014<\/span> and Ahn. While Ahn was not a member of the PPP before 2022, he was also a BMP member at the same time as Yoo.<\/span><\/p>\n

If the contest between Kim and Ahn were indeed about who was more loyal to the president and the party, the frontrunner should be Kim. That Ahn is leading in the polls shows that other factors are at play.<\/span><\/p>\n

DOWN BUT NOT OUT<\/b><\/p>\n

President Yoon Suk-yeol might not be as concerned about who wins the PPP\u2019s leadership race after Na Kyung-won announced she wouldn\u2019t run. Regardless of who wins, Yoon can rest assured that it will be someone who will be loyal to him, at least for the foreseeable future. However, PPP lawmakers have longer term worries <\/span>\u2014 Democratic Party (DP) leader Lee Jae-myung.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lee Jae-myung faces steep political challenges. Prosecutors have <\/span>questioned<\/span><\/a> him over a bribery scandal during his time as mayor of Seongnam.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prosecutors also <\/span>indicted<\/span><\/a> one of his close aides in November on charges of taking more than $644,018 (800 million won) in bribes from land developers and possibly using the money to help fund Lee\u2019s unsuccessful 2022 presidential bid.<\/span><\/p>\n

The DP could face serious financial challenges if prosecutors prove the allegations and <\/span>force the party<\/span><\/a> to return Lee\u2019s campaign expenses that were partly covered by taxes to <\/span>the National Election Commission<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

The DP will also face a leadership challenge. Prosecutors will likely not be able to indict Lee as they need the <\/span>National Assembly\u2019s consent to indict a sitting lawmaker<\/span><\/a>, and <\/span>no other lawmaker<\/span><\/a> within the DP has the influence to challenge Lee for the party\u2019s mantle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Even so, a recent <\/span>poll<\/span><\/a> by <\/span>Segye Ilbo<\/span><\/i> newspaper revealed that 24% of respondents favored Lee as the country\u2019s next leader. Justice Minister Han Dong-hoon came in at a distant second place with 11%, while Ahn logged third place with 7%.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"

President Yoon Suk-yeol visits former President Park Chung-hee\u2019s home, Feb. 1, 2023 | Image: ROK Presidential Office<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n

CHALLENGES AHEAD<\/b><\/p>\n

That Lee remains a formidable contender is arguably an indictment of President Yoon Suk-yeol\u2019s leadership \u2014 Yoon is <\/span>losing support<\/span><\/a> even in Daegu, a conservative stronghold, and recently paid a visit to the Daegu home of former dictator Park Chung-hee in an attempt to stop the bleeding.<\/span><\/p>\n

Combined with parliamentary elections, which are a year away, conservative lawmakers may be worried about throwing their support behind Kim Gi-hyeon, who might be perceived as too loyal to Yoon. This may explain PPP lawmakers\u2019 willingness to throw their support behind a candidate as unconventional as Ahn Cheol-soo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yoon and the PPP will likely continue to face challenges even with Ahn Cheol-soo as its leader. Ahn will find it difficult to keep the party united, especially since his outsider status will make it hard to <\/span>command loyalty<\/span><\/a> from lawmakers who don\u2019t believe he has earned it.<\/span><\/p>\n

The result is likely to be further chaos and infighting among ROK conservatives.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edited by Bryan Betts<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n

Domestic Politics<\/span><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When President Yoon Suk-yeol fired legislator Na Kyung-won from key positions last month, he sent a clear message that Na did not have his blessing to be the next leader of the conservative People Power Party (PPP). Na\u2019s poll numbers subsequently plummeted and her frontrunner status evaporated. She soon announced that she would not run […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10407,"featured_media":2199992,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[27],"class_list":["post-2199991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-domestic-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nAn outsider candidate could soon lead South Korea\u2019s conservative party - KOREA PRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/koreapro.org\/2023\/02\/an-outsider-candidate-could-soon-lead-south-koreas-conservative-party\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"An outsider candidate could soon lead South Korea\u2019s conservative party - KOREA PRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When President Yoon Suk-yeol fired legislator Na Kyung-won from key positions last month, he sent a clear message that Na did not have his blessing to be the next leader of the conservative People Power Party (PPP). 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